Wednesday, December 3, 2008

A New Index of Preventive Medicine Companies



The accompanying table [click to enlarge] presents statistics and the top 15 rated companies in the ETF Innovators [ETFI] Preventive Medicine Index. The index includes U.S.-listed companies with market caps of $200M-$60B which are engaged in the following healthcare business segments: vaccine makers, diagnostics, lab services, and diabetes care.

The index has outpaced the overall market, Healthcare Sector SPDR (XLV), HealthShares Diagnostics (HHD), and iShares Nasdaq Biotech (IBB) over the past year, posting a slight gain of 0.8% for the top 30 rated companies despite double digit losses for the overall market and benchmark healthcare ETFs.

With the announcement that HealthShares will close its remaining four funds by year-end, the ETFI Preventive Medicine Index represents a new ETF idea which expands upon their most popular product by net assets, HealthShares Diagnostics (HHD), with the inclusion of vaccine makers such as Emergent BioSolutions (EBS), diabetes care companies such as Novo Nordisk (NVO), and diagnostic companies not included in HHD such as Sequenom (SQNM), China Medical (CMED), Genoptix (GXDX), and Genomic Health (GHDX).

A New Index of Pet & Animal Care Companies


The accompanying table [click to enlarge] provides statistics and the top 25 rated companies in the ETF Innovators [ETFI] Global Animal Biz Index, which outpaced the overall market and benchmark ETFs such as Market Vectors Agribusiness (MOO), Healthcare Sector SPDR (XLV), and iShares S&P Global Healthcare (IXJ) over the past year. The index includes companies active in the following business segments: animal breeding, veterinary services, pet retailers, animal feeds/nutrition, and veterinary medicines/diagnostics. Some top rated companies which have U.S.-listed stocks include Neogen (NEOG), PetMed Express (PETS), Balchem (BCPC), and Idexx Labs (IDXX).

A Coiled Spring: Near-Term Catalysts & Oversold Stocks

AMAG Pharma (AMAG) more than doubled on word that the FDA accepted its complete response for a NDA of iron-deficiency anemia drug ferumoxytol in patients with chronic kidney disease and will issue a final ruling before year-end. The news is a major relief for AMAG as no new clinical trials were required and the quick decision deadline before year-end is encouraging for the approval prospects of ferumoxytol.

A trio of companies expect FDA decisions for abuse-resistant pain drugs before year-end, including Pain Therapeutics (PTIE) + King Pharma (KG) for Remoxy and Alpharma (ALO) for Embeda. Now that Alpharma has accepted King's buyout bid, the latter reflects a way to trade both decisions in a single stock for twice the chances of approval.

Caraco Pharma (CPD) offers U.S. investors a way to play India-based Sun Pharma's growth through their distribution agreement and the Company believes it has addressed the issues raised in the FDA warning letter completely, which provides a potential upside catalyst upon resolution. Caraco has lost an astounding two-thirds of its market value in just the past month and over three-quarters of value in the past year despite the fact the Company has enough cash on hand ($33.6M) to buy back almost its entire float of 11.3M outstanding shares at current prices.

Cypress Bioscience (CYPB) is still waiting for a FDA decision for milnacipran in the treatment of fibromyalgia, which has been widely used as an anti-depressant in Europe and other markets for over a decade. The FDA missed its mid-October decision deadline, but said it expected to resolve the matter in a "matter of weeks", which is encouraging since the agency did not simply delay the deadline by three months as it has done in many recent cases. Another key event is Phase 3 results for the drug for the same indication, with results expected before year-end.

A FDA decision is also possible before year-end for Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and Medarex (MEDX) for a biological agent, Stelara (ustekinumab), in the treatment of psoriasis – with a FDA panel endorsement this past June and clinical trial results in September which showed it was more effective than Amgen's (AMGN) Enbrel in a short-term, 12-week study of patients with moderate to severe plaque psoriasis.

Material Stock Opportunities? Freeport McMoRan (FCX) is tanking today after suspending its dividend and cutting copper production in the face of waning demand and low prices. However, with FCX trading with a 17-handle today compared to triple digit highs this past summer, the stock is one to watch for a buy on the prospects for a rebound in housing and the overall economy. Along with FCX, other beaten-up basic materials companies include Alcoa (AA), Barrick Gold (ABX), Silver Wheaton (SLW), and Potash (POT).